🎙️ podcast Analysis December 24, 2025 Motley Fool Money

The Data Blackout Dilemma: When Economic Signals Fail and Defensive Plays Emerge

Healthcare REITs Discount Retail
Tickers
3 Picks
Conviction MEDIUM
Risk Profile 3.1/10 (MODERATE RISK)
Horizon 12-24 months
Signal Snapshot Core Theme: Macro Data Reliability

Economic data provides reliable policy guidance

Systematic overstatement renders macro analysis meaningless

January jobs report; Fed leadership change; AI regulation

Executive Summary

Federal Reserve Chair Powell admitted payroll jobs were overstated by 60,000 monthly, meaning the US may have been losing jobs rather than adding them through most of 2025. This data corruption, combined with a 42-day government shutdown gap from October 1st to November 12th, has created unprecedented uncertainty in economic measurement. The Fed's dual mandate faces its worst-case scenario: cutting rates might help jobs but fuel inflation, while maintaining higher rates could control inflation b...

Key Investment Opportunity

Defensive Healthcare REIT Play

CareTrust REIT offers economic insensitivity through demographic-driven demand in senior housing and skilled nursing facilities

...and 1 more investment opportunities

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