🎙️ podcast Analysis November 27, 2025 Odd Lots by Bloomberg

The Thucydides Trap: Why Supply Chain Weaponization Creates the Ultimate Defense Trade

Rare Earth Mining Defense Manufacturing Critical Materials Processing
Tickers
2 Picks
Conviction HIGH
Risk Profile 7.1/10 (CRITICAL RISK)
Horizon 24-36 months

Executive Summary

Graham Allison's Thucydides Trap framework reveals a structural investment thesis hiding in plain sight. While markets obsess over trade war headlines, the real alpha lies in supply chain weaponization. Allison explicitly demonstrates China's stranglehold on rare earth magnets - 'required for cars, iPhones, laptops, F-35s, Tomahawk missiles.' The Market Consensus believes this is just political theater. The Variant Perception: This is permanent economic warfare requiring massive capital realloca...

Key Investment Opportunity

Critical Materials Reshoring - The Ultimate 'Picks and Shovels' Play

Allison's demonstration with rare earth magnets reveals the hidden infrastructure of modern warfare and technology. Every advanced weapon system, from F-35s to Tomahawk missiles, requires rare earth elements that China currently controls. This creates a national security imperative that transcends n...

...and 1 more investment opportunities

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