🎙️ podcast Analysis December 09, 2025 Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

The Infrastructure Trap: Why Google's TPU Advantage Will Collapse When Blackwell Flips the Cost Equation

AI Infrastructure Semiconductor Design Data Center Networking
Tickers
3 Picks
Conviction HIGH
Risk Profile 1.8/10 (MODERATE RISK)
Horizon 18-24 months

Executive Summary

Google's current dominance as the lowest-cost producer of AI tokens is about to end. While the market celebrates Google's Gemini 3 breakthrough, it's missing the critical infrastructure shift happening beneath the surface. Google achieved temporary cost leadership because they trained Gemini 3 on next-generation TPU v6 and v7 chips while NVIDIA's Blackwell faced an 18-month deployment nightmare—going from air-cooled 1,000-pound racks consuming 30 kilowatts to liquid-cooled 3,000-pound monsters r...

Key Investment Opportunity

The Blackwell Cost Inversion Play

Google's temporary cost leadership in AI token production will reverse in 2026 when Blackwell models launch, forcing a fundamental repricing of the AI ecosystem. Companies that have been subsidizing AI services at negative margins will need to raise prices, while NVIDIA customers become the new low-...

...and 1 more investment opportunities

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