Executive Summary
Michael Burry disclosed put positions in NVIDIA and Palantir in early November 2025, marking the first time since his subprime mortgage short that he's taken such a high-profile contrarian stance. Neither stock has set a new high since his disclosure, despite both companies delivering strong 2025 performance (NVDA +40%, PLTR +140%). The timing appears prescient: both companies show pure insider selling patterns over the past 90 days, with NVDA insiders selling 3.2 million shares and PLTR insiders selling 4.0 million shares with zero insider buying. Burry's thesis centers on AI trade parallels to the dot-com era—acknowledging promise while questioning winner identification and valuation sustainability. His track record of calling major market tops, combined with current market positioning where 'everyone seems to be on one side of this trade,' creates a compelling contrarian setup. The broader context includes commodity strategist Mike McGlone's warning about unprecedented precious metals rallies coinciding with low stock market volatility, historically signaling increased volatility ahead. This convergence of contrarian signals across asset classes suggests potential systematic risk to consensus AI positioning.
Key Insights
what Mike McGlone, Michael Regan said“Berry really did throw some cold water on the trade in a very high profile manner in early November when he disclosed. Put positions in Palantir and Nvidia in his hedge fund, Cian Asset Management.”
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