🎙️ podcast Analysis January 30, 2026 Odd Lots

Metals Supercycle: China Silver Hoarding Signals 12-Year Commodity Rally

Copper Mining Critical Minerals
Tickers
1 Pick
Conviction HIGH
Risk Profile 1.2/10 (LOW RISK)
Horizon 12-18 months
Signal Snapshot Core Theme: Commodity Supercycle

Tech dominance continues with commodity underweight

Physical supply constraints meet infrastructure buildout demand

Chinese hoarding; Defense spending; Tech capex

Executive Summary

Chinese buyers are paying a $5 per ounce premium for silver over global prices, signaling the start of a 12-year commodity supercycle driven by deglobalization, electrification, and wealth redistribution policies. Jeff Currie argues this mirrors the 1970s and 2000s supercycles, but with a critical difference: hyperscalers like NVIDIA are transitioning from asset-light software models to asset-heavy infrastructure deployment, creating unprecedented capital rotation demands. Silver's dual role as ...

Key Investment Opportunity

Copper Mining Exposure Through FCX

Freeport-McMoRan benefits from structural copper deficit as electrification and data center buildout accelerate while new mine development takes 12+ years

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