Executive Summary
Morgan Stanley's deputy head of global research frames the potential government shutdown as calendar-driven rather than ideologically motivated, with Democrats demanding immigration enforcement oversight while Republicans show negotiating flexibility but face time constraints. The House's absence until early February creates a mechanical path to weekend funding lapse followed by short continuing resolution. Historical analysis shows shutdowns trim roughly 0.1% from annualized quarterly GDP per w...
Key Investment Opportunity
Ignore Political Noise, Focus on Fundamentals
Government shutdown creates temporary market anxiety without altering underlying earnings, inflation, or Fed policy trajectories that drive asset performance
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