🎙️ podcast Analysis January 28, 2026 RiskReversal Pod

AI Infrastructure: Late-Cycle Bubble Dynamics Signal Capital Rotation from GPUs to Memory

Memory Semiconductors Data Center Infrastructure Enterprise Software
Tickers
3 Picks
Conviction MEDIUM
Risk Profile 3.3/10 (MODERATE RISK)
Horizon 6-18 months
Signal Snapshot Core Theme: AI Infrastructure

Memory shortage drives infrastructure mania

Supply constraints mask demand uncertainty

CAPEX guidance; Memory supply additions; Application monetization

Executive Summary

Steve Milunovich identifies AI as a late-cycle technological bubble distinct from the dot-com's mid-cycle dynamics, creating specific investment implications for infrastructure plays. Memory stocks have surged hundreds of percent in six months as capacity constraints drive pricing power, with Micron trading at $431 after explosive gains from $61 lows. However, this mirrors the 1973 oil crisis supply shock pattern rather than sustainable demand growth. Nvidia's $2 billion CoreWeave investment exe...

Key Investment Opportunity

Memory Semiconductor Supply Constraint Play

Acute memory shortages driving unprecedented pricing power, but late-cycle dynamics suggest timing-sensitive opportunity

...and 2 more investment opportunities

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