WEEKLY BRIEFING February 19, 2026

AI Infrastructure Capex: Memory Scarcity Creates Structural Margin Expansion

MARKET STATE:
Memory
Incumbent
Industrial

Executive Summary

The transition from speculative AI positioning to operational deployment necessitates a defensive rotation into infrastructure bottlenecks rather than application-layer beneficiaries. Current capital flows into hyperscale AI infrastructure ignore the deteriorating correlation between compute capacity expansion and memory availability, creating a structural supply-demand imbalance lasting 2-3 years.

Memory chip shortage represents the critical constraint in the trillion-dollar AI capex cycle, wi...
Alpha Clusters

Memory Scarcity Monetization

Memory chip shortage creates industry-wide margin compression lasting 2-3 years, with Micron positioned to monetize HBM transition while AMD's MI450/Helios platform launch targets data center AI inflection during supply constraints.

...and 2 more Alpha Clusters

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