Executive Summary
Oracle's cloud infrastructure missed growth targets by 300 basis points, but the real story lies buried in a $300 billion backlog that may be mathematically impossible to fulfill. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Anna Raghurana revealed that OpenAI—responsible for over 60% of Oracle's AI backlog—generates just $20 billion in annual revenue, yet has committed to spending $300 billion exclusively with Oracle. This creates a structural mismatch that no amount of optimistic modeling can resolve. The m...
Key Investment Opportunity
The Infrastructure Reality Check: Oracle's Backlog Mirage
Oracle's massive AI backlog is built on OpenAI commitments that cannot be economically fulfilled. OpenAI's $20B revenue run rate cannot support $300B in Oracle spending without destroying their business model. As this becomes apparent, Oracle will face a choice: write down the backlog or continue bu...
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