🎙️ podcast Analysis February 09, 2026 All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

SaaS Sector: AI Agent Layer Threatens Value Capture Despite Strong Fundamentals

Software-as-a-Service
Tickers
3 Picks
Conviction MEDIUM
Risk Profile 2.4/10 (MODERATE RISK)
Horizon 12-24 months
Signal Snapshot Core Theme: Software-as-a-Service

SaaS dead due to AI replacement

Revenue stable but profit pools shifting to agent layer

Q1 earnings; agent platform maturity; pricing model evolution

Executive Summary

SaaS companies face an existential value capture crisis despite hitting revenue targets. Salesforce trades at 15x free cash flow versus its historical 30x multiple, reflecting market fears that AI agent layers will commoditize application software. Brad Gerstner's analysis reveals the core tension: revenue remains stable, but terminal value expectations have collapsed as investors discount future cash flows in an AI-dominated world. The threat isn't replacement—Salesforce's 25-year battle-tested...

Key Investment Opportunity

Contrarian SaaS Value Play

Fundamentally strong SaaS companies trading at historic low multiples due to AI fears, despite stable revenue and strong cash generation

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